We are closing in on the trade deadline very quickly, and about to hit that final stretch. So, let's see how the playoffs may shake out, and the current award winners!
1. Let’s look at the teams who are locks for the playoffs, along with the bubble teams…
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Playoff Locks-
Boston Bruins (88 points, 60 GP)
Washington Capitals (81 pts, 60 GP)
New Jersey Devils (79 pts, 60 GP)
Philadelphia Flyers (71 pts, 57 GP)
Will probably get in-
Montreal Canadiens (69 pts, 60 GP)
Florida Panthers (68 pts, 59 GP)
Bubble teams (w/ breakdown)-
New York Rangers (69 pts, 61 GP)
- Remaining games… 21 (10 H, 11 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/9 – 3/17 (@ CAR, @ NSH, @ PHI, vs. PHI, @ MTL)
Buffalo Sabres (68 pts, 60 GP)
- Remaining games… 22 (11 H, 11 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/28 – 4/6 (@ MTL, @ ATL, @ WSH, vs. NJ, vs. DET)
Carolina Hurricanes (67 pts, 61 GP)
- Remaining games… 21 (11 H, 10 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/9 – 3/18 (vs. NYR, @ CHI, @ DAL, @ WSH, vs. NJ)
Pittsburgh Penguins (64 pts, 61 GP)
- Remaining games… 21 (11 H, 10 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 2/27 – 3/8 (@ CHI, @ DAL, @ TB, @ FLA, @ WSH)
Start looking at 2009/10-
Toronto Maple Leafs (54 pts, 59 GP)
Ottawa Senators (53 pts, 58 GP)
Tampa Bay Lightning (52 pts, 60 GP)
Atlanta Thrashers (48 pts, 60 GP)
New York Islanders (42 pts, 59 GP)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Playoff Locks-
San Jose Sharks (89 points, 57 GP)
Detroit Red Wings (86 pts, 60 GP)
Calgary Flames (76 pts, 59 GP)
Chicago Blackhawks (76 pts, 57 GP)
Will probably get in-
Vancouver Canucks (68 pts, 59 GP)
Bubble teams (w/breakdown)-
Columbus Blue Jackets (66 pts, 60 GP)
- Remaining games… 22 (10 H, 12 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/7 – 3/15 (@ DET, vs. BOS, vs. PIT, @ CHI, vs. DET)
Dallas Stars (65 pts, 58 GP)
- Remaining games… 24 (12 H, 12 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/14 – 3/24 (vs. MIN, @ VAN, @ CGY, @ SJ, vs. VAN)
Minnesota Wild (64 pts, 58 GP)
- Remaining games… 25 (8 H, 16 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/28 – 4/5 (@ CGY, @ EDM, vs. VAN, vs. CGY, @ DET)
Edmonton Oilers (63 pts, 59 GP)
- Remaining games… 23 (13 H, 10 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/26 – 4/2 (@ PHX, @ ANA, vs. MIN, vs. ANA, vs. SJ)
Anaheim Ducks (63 pts, 61 GP)
- Remaining games… 21 (10 H, 11 A)
- Key 5-game stretch… 3/3 – 3/15 (@ CHI, vs. DAL, vs. MIN, vs. VAN, vs. SJ)
Playoffs aren’t likely-
Nashville Predators (60 pts, 60 GP)
Los Angeles Kings (59 pts, 58 GP)
Phoenix Coyotes (59 pts, 60 GP)
St. Louis Blues (58 pts, 59 GP)
Colorado Avalanche (57 pts, 60 GP)
2. Here are my selections for the awards at this point…
Hart Trophy:
1. Alexander Ovechkin, WSH
2. Alexander Ovechkin, WSH
3. Alexander Ovechkin, WSH
Vezina:
1. Tim Thomas, BOS
2. Niklas Backstrom, MIN
3. Evgeni Nabokov, SJ
Norris:
1. Zdeno Chara, BOS
2. Mike Green, WSH
3. Nicklas Lidstrom, DET
Calder:
1. Steve Mason, CBJ
2. Bobby Ryan, ANA
3. Blake Wheeler, BOS
Jack Adams:
1. Todd McLellan, SJ
2. Joel Quenneville, CHI
3. Peter DeBoer, FLA
Art Ross:
Evgeni Malkin, PIT
Maurice Richard:
Alexander Ovechkin, WSH
3. Since the 1998/99 divisional realignment, a division winner has won the Stanley Cup every year except one (’00 Devils – #4 seed). Let’s see how the division leaders stack up against each other. Chances are that one of these six teams will hoist the Cup in June.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
Atlantic- New Jersey Devils
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 40.97
Strengths: Team defense, top-line scoring
Need to improve: Total special teams, blue-line production
How I see it: The Devils are a really good team, but we have to see how Brodeur returns to get a feel of how they’ll do in the playoffs. If Clemmensen has to be the man in the postseason, they may not get past the 2nd round if not upset in the 1st round. Nonetheless, this is a legit Cup contender with Zach Parise leading the way.
Northeast- Boston Bruins
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 49.49
Strengths: Goaltending, balanced production
Need to improve: Total special teams, blue-line production
How I see it: This is a team I’m going to watch very closely in these last 20-plus games. They were so dynamite in the first half, but their play has dropped off the last few weeks. Boston could be a team that has 1st round upset written all over it… but they also have all the tools to put together a deep run this spring.
Southeast- Washington Capitals
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 32.51
Strengths: Top-line scoring, power play, home dominance
Need to improve: Penalty kill, goaltending consistency
How I see it: If Ovechkin is playing like this come playoff time, look out! A top-notch deadline acquisition may put this bunch over the top. But with that being said, their playoff hopes rests on the shoulders of goaltender Jose Theodore. Yes, he has not lost a 1st round playoff series as a starter, but hasn’t cracked the conference finals, either.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
Central- Detroit Red Wings
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 32.53
Strengths: Top-line scoring, power play, playoff experience
Need to improve: Team defense, penalty kill
How I see it: Of course you can’t overlook the defending champs. When they can throw Hossa, Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Franzen, Lidstrom, Rafalski, etc. at you at any time, you know they’re a team to be reckoned with. Their goaltending, though, is the main question. Osgood isn’t the same, and Conklin’s only playoff experience is his notorious brain-cramp behind the net at Carolina in 2006. Hopefully we don’t have to see this team win it… again!
Northwest- Calgary Flames
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 20.94
Strengths: Balanced production, penalty kill
Need to improve: Goaltending consistency, road record vs. playoff teams
How I see it: The Flames will have to be rolling into the playoffs to have enough momentum to get to the finals and win it. Kiprusoff will also have to kick his game up a couple notches for ‘em to have a chance. Still a very dangerous team in the Saddledome with Iginla as the Captain.
Pacific- San Jose Sharks
‘RLD’ Playoff Formula: 59.23
Strengths: Total special teams, top-line scoring, home dominance
Need to improve: Playoff mentality
How I see it: Ok, we know they can win in the regular season. But will this be a spring to celebrate in San Jose with McLellan behind the bench?? Everyone still has their doubts. March is usually their best month of hockey, so expect them to be on fire going into April… let’s hope (for their sake) that that flame doesn’t burn out in the 2nd round as usual.
4. Finally, here are my predictions for what the playoff picture will look like on April 13th…
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1. Boston Bruins
2. Washington Capitals
3. New Jersey Devils
4. Philadelphia Flyers
5. Montreal Canadiens
6. Florida Panthers
7. Buffalo Sabres
8. Carolina Hurricanes
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9. Pittsburgh Penguins
10. New York Rangers
WESTERN CONFERENCE
1. Detroit Red Wings
2. San Jose Sharks
3. Calgary Flames
4. Chicago Blackhawks
5. Vancouver Canucks
6. Dallas Stars
7. Edmonton Oilers
8. Columbus Blue Jackets
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9. Minnesota Wild
10. Anaheim Ducks