Tune in to Versus!


The Versus schedule for the next week...
Tonight (all times ET)-

9:00 - Blackhawks @ Canucks (G1)
Friday, 5/1-
7:00 - Ducks @ Red Wings (G1)
9:30 - Hurricanes @ Bruins, JIP (G1)
Saturday, 5/2-
9:00 - Blackhawks @ Canucks (G2)
Sunday, 5/3-
7:30 - Hurricanes @ Bruins (G2)
Monday, 5/4-
7:00 - Penguins @ Capitals (G2)
Tuesday, 5/5-
8:00 - Canucks @ Blackhawks (G3)
10:30 - Red Wings @ Ducks (G3)
Wednesday, 5/6-
7:00 - Capitals @ Penguins (G3)
9:30 - Bruins @ Hurricanes, JIP (G3)
Thursday, 5/7-
8:00 - Canucks @ Blackhawks (G4)
10:30 - Red Wings @ Ducks (G4)

Jackson’s Second Round Projections From the Couch

After getting six out of eight series correct in the first round, I hope to improve my record in round two.

Like many folks I missed San Jose losing to Anaheim and I was feeling really good about my “feeling” that the Rangers would beat the Caps until when things started falling apart for the Rangers in game five.

I expect all series to go deep in the second round with good competition and many twists and turns, and of course, more controversy. It will be a great two weeks to be a hockey fan.

Boston appears to be a better team than Carolina but Carolina played well against the Devils and may suffer a hangover from the finish of the opening series. Boston is rested and ready to play. I predict that Boston will win in six games.


The Pittsburgh and Washington series will take center stage over all the others. I think Pittsburgh has a deeper team and more experience in goal but the Capitals will push the Pens to game seven. Pittsburgh will win on the Cps home ice in game seven.


Anaheim and Detroit are a long time Western Conference rivalry that will provide plenty of competition. Anaheim has been on a roll for the last six weeks and should continue into this series. The Ducks will break the backs of the Wings when they win game seven in Detroit.


Vancouver and Chicago really do not like each other and this series will be an all out war. Either team could win but my favorite player Alex Burrows will star again in this series and lead the Canucks to victory in seven games.
That’s it for now. I’ll check back in next week and see where things stand at the midpoint of round two.


Jackson Oakes for The Red Light District

NHL09 Simulation: CHI @ VAN

The NHL09 simulations continue! Throughout the playoffs, I’ll simulate 1-2 games for that upcoming night and post the results right here. The rosters are updated, injured players are out of the lineup, and the players’ overalls are as close to real life as possible.
Today, I let the computer play out tonight’s Game 1 between Chicago & Vancouver…
Simulation Record: 9-5

Chicago @ Vancouver, Game 1
Scoring Summary:

1st Period
VAN- Pavol Demitra (4:27, PP, Kesler and Edler)
2nd Period
CHI- Dave Bolland (5:50, Sharp and Campbell)
VAN- Mason Raymond (13:46, Edler and Salo)
CHI- Patrick Kane (14:49, Sharp)
3rd Period
None
Overtime
VAN- Mats Sundin (13:03, Kesler and Demitra)

Team Stats:
Shots
CHI- 38, VAN- 29
Power Plays
CHI- 0/3, VAN- 1/2

Final: CANUCKS 3, BLACKHAWKS 2 (OT)

Tune in tomorrow as I’ll simulate Game 1 between the Ducks & Wings!

IIHF World Championships Update

Preliminary Round Final Standings:
Group A

1. Canada
2. Belarus
3. Slovakia
4. Hungary
Group B
1. Russia
2. Switzerland
3. France
4. Germany
Group C
1. United States
2. Sweden
3. Latvia
4. Austria
Group D
1. Finland
2. Czech Republic
3. Norway
4. Denmark

The top 3 in each group have advanced to the Qualifying Round… here are the groups for that:
Group E
France
Latvia
Russia
Sweden
Switzerland
United States
Group F
Belarus
Canada
Czech Republic
Finland
Norway
Slovakia

The biggest surprise so far in this tournament has been Latvia. They lost a close one to USA, and beat Sweden in overtime. Martin St. Louis, my projected tournament MVP winner, leads all scorers with 9 points for Canada. USA’s point leaders are Patrick O’Sullivan, Jack Johnson, and John-Michael Liles… all have 5 points thus far. Goalie Robert Esche has been less-than-stellar (what's new!?) U-S-A! U-S-A! U-S-A!
The Qualifying Round will run through Monday. The action should start to really pick up after that!

Video preview of Hawks/Canucks

A preview of what's to come in this series.

* I left the stuff below out of my series preview so I could put this up...
Trust me, this series is going to get NASTY. If you think the Chicago/Calgary series was physical and rough, this one will be 5-times better! That brawl above occurred on March 29th, which means it's still fresh in everyone's mind and not one of those players has forgetten about it. And if my prediction holds up of the series going seven, buckle your seats everyone!! It's gonna be a good ol' blood bath between two of the hottest teams in the league. This will generate into an ugly rivalry before we know it. There's a good handful of pests on both sides, so the NHL offices better get ready for some hearings. There will be boarding penalties, cheap shots to the head, post-whistle board meetings, uncalled-for slashes, etc... the dirty crap that the league hates will take place in this series. Oh, and I wish I could be the ice-level color analyst between the benches - the trash talk will be rated TV-MA!

Aside from the antics, I really think this will be the best series in the 2nd round. Screw the Ovechkin vs. Crosby media love affair... Hawks vs. Canucks is where it's at, ladies and gentlemen! This has the potential to end up like the Carolina/New Jersey series. Overtimes, late-game heroics... you name it! And who can forget the awesome goaltending battle between Luongo and Khabibulin!? We are going to see everything in this one!! What a way to kick off round two of the 2009 Stanley Cup Playoffs.... DROP THE PUCK!!!

Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/30)

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Game of the Night:
4) Chicago Blackhawks @ 3) Vancouver Canucks

Game 1, 9:00 ET… TV: VERSUS, CBC, Local Networks

Players to watch:
CHI- Brent Seabrook

I have a feeling he will be a factor not only in this game, but this series.
VAN- Mats Sundin
How will he fare after missing the last 2 games of the Blues series with a groin injury?

Starting Goaltenders:
CHI- Nikolai Khabibulin
(Playoff stats: 4-2, 2.52 GAA)
VAN- Roberto Luongo (Playoff stats: 4-0, 1.16 GAA)

Injury Report:
CHI-
Brent Sopel (elbow, out)
VAN- Mats Sundin (groin, probable), Sami Salo (lower body, probable), Taylor Pyatt (personal, questionable)

Game Thoughts:
Tonight will probably be a tell-tale sign of how close this series will be; it could be the 2nd round’s Carolina/New Jersey series! Although I like Vancouver to win this series, I think the ‘Hawks will carry over their momentum from Games 5 and 6 to squeak out a ‘W’.

Prediction: Blackhawks 3, Canucks 2 (OT)

ECSF- 1) BRUINS vs. 6) HURRICANES

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How they got here…
Bruins-
4-0 series win over MTL
Hurricanes-
4-3 series win over NJ
Season Series…
4-0 Bruins
Previous Playoff Meeting…
1999 Eastern Conference Quarterfinals (4-2 Bruins)
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’…
Bruins- 70.56
Hurricanes- 41.68
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’ Predicts…
Bruins in 4 or 5
Tale of the Tape…
Forwards-
Edge: Bruins
… Boston has established 2-3 reliable scoring lines.
Defensemen-
Edge: Bruins
… Chara and Wideman get the upper hand; plus, the B’s might get Andrew Ference back in this series.
Goaltending-
Edge: Hurricanes
… Ward has ice in his veins – 3-0 in Game 7’s lifetime. Thomas still has to prove he can win the big game in the playoffs.
Special Teams-
Edge: Bruins
… This is easy. ‘Canes went 2/29 on the PP against NJ; Boston was 4/16 on the PP and killed all 8 of Montreal’s power plays.
Coaching-
Edge: Hurricanes
… Paul Maurice has quality experience in the postseason; Claude Julien hasn’t been past the 2nd round yet.
Experience-
Edge: Hurricanes
… Carolina’s forwards have more experience than Boston’s; vice versa for Boston’s defensemen. But the kicker here is goaltending… Ward is money in the playoffs.
Team X-Factors…
Bruins-
Michael Ryder
… Ryder compiled 45 points in games where the Bruins won, and just 8 points in the games they lost. He was a big key for the B’s in round one against Montreal, as he had 4 goals and 3 assists in the series; he really came on strong at the end. The 2nd line is hot, but they can’t afford to go cold. Ryder is the x-factor here for Boston…
Hurricanes-
Ray Whitney
… Whitney has been dynamite on the Canes’ new top line with Staal and Chad LaRose. He has 5 points in 2+ games with those two, and is getting more quality chances. He is definitely a wild card for this team, because I assume Zdeno Chara’s top assignment will be Mr. Staal.
Key Injuries…
Bruins-
D Andrew Ference (undisclosed, return for series is possible)
D Matt Hunwick (spleen, out for series)
LW Marco Sturm (knee, out for playoffs)
Hurricanes-
None
Keys to the Series…
Bruins-
1. Stop Carolina’s top line… Carolina’s hopes rest on the shoulders of Staal and the #1 unit. The top unit of Chara and Aaron Ward will likely follow them around in this series. If they can contain Staal, Whitney, and LaRose, Boston could breeze through.
2. Shake off the rust… Out of the 3 teams that swept through round one, I’m most worried about the Bruins; the Habs didn’t challenge them at all. Tim Thomas has to be sharp, and they can’t let the ‘Canes gain confidence/momentum at the Garden in Boston.
Hurricanes-
1. Win the special teams battle… This could be the make-or-break battle for Carolina. Their power play was awful against New Jersey, going 2/29. They have to find a way to convert on the man advantage against Boston’s solid PK.
2. Offense from defense… Tim Gleason, who didn’t score in the first 82 games, was the only ‘Cane to score in the first round (OT, Game 2). That needs to change… Corvo and Babchuk especially have to step up.
Why the Bruins will win…
There’s no question they have all the pieces to win the Cup, but their less-than-stellar playoff resume as a franchise leaves some doubt. Even though Thomas is not truly playoff-tested, he does have a great group of d-men in front of him. All he has to do is give ‘em a chance to win. I like the versatility of their forwards… Lucic, Savard, Kessel, Krejci, and Bergeron all bring different elements to the table. I have a hard time thinking Boston won’t take this series, but we’ll see.
Why the Hurricanes will win…
Cam Ward will need to steal this series. The power play will need to turn things around. Their top line will need to overcome the matchup against Chara. They’ll need to get clutch contributions from guys like Brind’Amour, Samsonov, and Cole. Oh, they’re going to need to have more magic left in them! It seems like to many things NEED to happen for Carolina to advance. Don’t get me wrong, I think the ‘Canes have all the momentum coming off their stunning finish in New Jersey, and could win this series. But I just don’t like the matchup against a Bruins squad that has been great all season long.
PREDICTION… BRUINS IN 6

ECSF- 2) CAPITALS vs. 4) PENGUINS

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How they got here…
Capitals-
4-3 series win over NYR
Penguins-
4-2 series win over PHI
Season Series…
3-1 Capitals
Previous Playoff Meeting…
2001 Eastern Conference Quarterfinals (4-2 Penguins)
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’…
Capitals- 54.18
Penguins- 50.86
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’ Predicts…
Capitals in 6 or 7
Tale of the Tape…
Forwards-
Edge: Even
… Ovechkin vs. Crosby, Semin vs. Malkin. Yeah, I’d say it’s close.
Defensemen-
Edge: Penguins
… They’ve got guys who will rough you up: Orpik, Gill, and Scuderi.
Goaltending-
Edge: Penguins
… Although Varlamov is hot, Fleury led the Pens to the finals last spring.
Special Teams-
Edge: Capitals
… Everything is about even, but the Caps’ power play came on late against the Rangers.
Coaching-
Edge: Even
… This is the first 2nd round appearance for both Boudreau & Bylsma.
Experience-
Edge: Penguins
… Even the ones who didn’t go the finals with them last year (Guerin, Kunitz, Fedotenko, and Cooke) all have good playoff experience.
Team X-Factors…
Capitals-
Nicklas Backstrom
… The former 4th overall pick from Sweden has been extremely consistent. He’s picked up points in 29 of the last 35 games. But he’s gotta take some pressure off the two Alex’s and score more. Backstrom has a nice scoring touch; he just has to use it. He has good numbers lifetime against Pittsburgh (0 G, 13 A in 8 GP). Goals won’t come easy, so I think he has to step his game up to another level.
Penguins-
Marc-Andre Fleury
… I think Fleury’s going to play well; all he’s done is win in the playoffs since last year. But you can’t overlook his numbers against the Caps this season… he was awful, going 1-3 with a GAA of 4.73, and a save percentage of .862. If he plays like that, the Pens have no chance. If he plays like he has in the playoffs the last couple years, Pittsburgh will move on.
Key Injuries…
Capitals-
LW Donald Brashear (suspended, out for first 5 games of series)
D Jeff Schultz (upper body, status for series unknown)
F Quintin Laing (spleen, done for season)
G Brent Johnson (hip, could return during playoffs)
Penguins-
F Mike Zigomanis (undisclosed, likely won’t return in playoffs)
Keys to the Series…
Capitals-
1. Cool Varlamov… Sergei Fedorov said it best after Game 7: “He’s just having fun… it’s nice to be young and not know how much pressure’s going on.” Well he’s going to be facing a team with much more talent and scoring ability, contrary to the Rangers. Varlamov’s gonna have to fend off the nerves for Washington to win this series.
2. Checking lines chip in… The bottom 2 lines of Laich/Steckel/Gordon and Clark/Bradley/Fehr will be crucial for the Caps. You saw what this team did in Games 5 and 6 when they got contributions from these 2 lines. All of the skilled forwards might off-set each other, so unsung heroes will need to step up.
Penguins-
1. Stop the Caps’ PP… The PK for Pittsburgh could win this series. You saw what New York’s aggressive PK did to Washington for most of the series. The Pens have an aggressive PK as well, and can even strike short-handed. When you look back at this series, this matchup could be the tipping point.
2. Send a message… Ovechkin & company will be pumped up after their first round comeback. The Pens could go to the sea of red in DC and shut ‘em up. I guarantee you the Caps wouldn’t come back from a 2-0 series deficit against this team.
Why the Capitals will win…
Washington will win this series by contributions from players other than Ovie & Semin. Those two can’t and won’t win this series alone. Like I said above… some unsung heroes will have to show up. Also, the Varlamov factor is a big one; it’ll be interesting to see if he feels any pressure in this series. They’ll have to get much better defensively, too. They won’t get away with so many breakdowns against the high-powered Pens. This is still a very winnable series for the Caps, though.
Why the Penguins will win…
Pittsburgh will win this series because of the little things and solid goaltending. The PK can be great at times. Crosby is becoming an elite face-off man. Fleury is making big saves left and right so far in the playoffs. I think if the bottom 2 lines outplay Washington’s, this team will advance. And in the end, I think Crosby, Malkin & company will get by the Caps. It won’t be easy, but I can also see the NHL’s ‘dream series’ not going as long as it should. In the highest TV rating series since the lockout (other than the finals), Pittsburgh prevails.
PREDICTION… PENGUINS IN 5

WCSF- 2) RED WINGS vs. 8) DUCKS

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How they got here…
Red Wings-
4-0 series win over CBJ
Ducks-
4-2 series win over SJ
Season Series…
3-1 Red Wings
Previous Playoff Meeting…
2007 Western Conference Finals (4-2 Ducks)
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’…
Red Wings-
54.76
Ducks- 43.31
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’ Predicts…
Red Wings in 6 or 7
Tale of the Tape…
Forwards-
Edge: Red Wings
… The top lines are equal, but I like Detroit’s depth a bit better.
Defensemen-
Edge: Ducks
… Both teams have great blue line units, but Anaheim’s back end was close to masterful against San Jose.
Goaltending-
Edge: Even
… Osgood is experienced and played well vs. Columbus; Hiller was unbelievable against the Sharks – nothing fazed him.
Special Teams-
Edge: Red Wings
… Detroit’s top-ranked PP makes the difference here.
Coaching-
Edge: Even
… Both Babcock and Carlyle have won Cups in the last 2 years.
Experience-
Edge: Red Wings
… A slight edge to the Wings as this entire group won the Cup together last spring.
Team X-Factors…
Red Wings-
Johan Franzen
… The Mule continues to be a playoff force for Detroit. Last spring, he scored 13 goals in 16 games. He racked up 6 points in the 4 games against the Jackets, including the series-clinching goal late in Game 4. If the Ducks find a way to shut him down, the Wings could be in trouble. If Franzen continues to dominate the postseason, Detroit should move on.
Ducks-
Jonas Hiller… Hiller was amazing in Anaheim’s first round win over San Jose. He was a wall between the pipes, and smothered everything that came his way. But he doesn’t have much experience playing against these Wings, which may or may not be a bad thing… we saw what Giguere did in his playoff debut in ’03 against Detroit! Hiller has to stay composed and not get rattled when the Wings are storming the crease. He will not have a 1.64 GAA against Detroit like he did against the Sharks, so he’s gotta step up at critical times in each game.
Key Injuries…
Red Wings-
C Kris Draper (upper-body, expected to be ready for Game 1)
D Andreas Lilja (head, status for playoffs unknown)
Ducks-
F Petteri Nokelainen (upper-body, status for series unknown)
D Bret Hedican (back, not coming back anytime soon)
LW Brad Larsen (sports hernia, status for playoffs unknown)
Keys to the Series…
Red Wings-
1. Contain Anaheim’s top line… The Ryan/Getzlaf/Perry line is dynamite, but it’s the only consistent line for the Ducks offensively. So if Lidstrom and Rafalski can at least contain those 3, I like Detroit’s chances.
2. Consistent Ozzie… Chris Osgood was really good in the first 3 games of the first round, but then fell apart in Game 4 despite the win. The Wings need him to be sharp and on top of his game in this series.
Ducks-
1. Stay out of the box!… I cannot stress this one enough. Anaheim got pretty lucky that San Jose didn’t burn them more on the power play. But Detroit will take advantage of those opportunities. Pronger & company must play a disciplined series for the Ducks to pull another upset.
2. Win Game 5… This probably seems stupid, but let me tell you why I think this is big for Anaheim. I am expecting this series to be tied at 2 after Game 4. The last 7 times when the Red Wings were tied at 2 in a series, Game 5 was the tipping point. If they lose Game 5, they are 0-3 in those 7 series… if they win Game 5, they are 4-0. Case closed.
Why the Red Wings will win…
The Red Wings found that other gear against Columbus… but it was Columbus. They’re going to be tested against the red-hot Ducks. But with the depth up front and the experience on the back end, the Wings could be headed for their 3rd straight conference final. Detroit just might dominate this series if Anaheim plays undisciplined hockey.
Why the Ducks will win…
Anaheim is more battle-tested than the Wings in the playoffs so far. Their blue line is so deep with talent, and they can score like crazy. If the Ducks dethrone the champs, the top unit would be a big factor. The Ducks really can go toe-to-toe with Detroit. They’ll have to play disciplined hockey with another big series from Jonas Hiller.
PREDICTION… RED WINGS IN 6

WCSF- 3) CANUCKS vs. 4) BLACKHAWKS

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How they got here…
Canucks-

4-0 series win over STL
Blackhawks-
4-2 series win over CGY
Season Series…
Tied 2-2
Previous Playoff Meeting…
1995 Western Conference Semifinals (4-0 Blackhawks)
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’…
Canucks-
46.54
Blackhawks- 54.95
RLD ‘Playoff Formula’ Predicts…
Blackhawks in 6 or 7
Tale of the Tape…
Forwards-
Edge: Even
… I like the Canucks’ top half of the lineup, but the ‘Hawks 3rd and 4th lines are solid.
Defensemen-
Edge: Canucks… Vancouver’s back end is big and physical, and they play great team D. Slight edge to the Canucks because of the latter.
Goaltending-
Edge: Canucks… All respect to Khabibulin, but Roberto Luongo is on another planet right now.
Special Teams-
Edge: Even… Both teams were fairly even in the regular season, and both have PK’s that are executing efficiently.
Coaching-
Edge: Blackhawks… The edge goes to Joel Quenneville’s veteran experience.
Experience-
Edge: Canucks… This team has more veterans who’ve been in the playoffs, although none of them have won a Cup.
Team X-Factors…
Canucks-
Mats Sundin
… When I evaluate the Canucks’ roster, Sundin is a guy I look at to up his game. There’s $8.6 million reasons why Vancouver signed him… and one of those reasons was to go deep in the playoffs. Sundin scored 1 goal in the 2 games he played in the first round, as he missed the last 2 games with a sore groin. He’s played well against Chicago this year and throughout his career. We assume the Sedins will do well here, but if Sundin can get the 2nd line with Demitra and Kesler going, look for Vancouver to advance.
Blackhawks-
Martin Havlat
… He had kind of an up-and-down series vs. the Flames. He was great in Games 1, 3, and 5; but then was almost nonexistent in Game 2, 4, and 6. I really think he’s going to have be more consistent here in the 2nd round. Unlike most of the ‘Hawks, Havlat has been this deep in the playoffs before when he was with Ottawa. Chicago has a good chance to move on if Havlat can score big goals.
Key Injuries…
Canucks-

D Sami Salo (lower-body, expected to be ready for start of series)
C Mats Sundin (groin, expected to be ready for start of series)
LW Taylor Pyatt (personal, status for series unknown)
Blackhawks-
D Brent Sopel (elbow, status for series unknown)
Keys to the Series…
Canucks-
1. The Sedins… The twins’ puck possession has been great and really stepped up vs. St. Louis. They’ll be going up against a better blue line, and probably the pairing of Keith and Seabrook. #22 and #33 will have to find a way to run their ‘half-court offense’ efficiently.
2. PK vs. Chicago’s PP… The ‘Hawks man advantage was solid in the first round. But Vancouver’s penalty kill was spectacular, killing 24 of the Blues’ 25 power plays. Something’s gotta give here, and the Canucks’ PK has to keep up their success here.
Blackhawks-
1. Take Game 1 or 2… To me, Chicago can go steal a game in Vancouver early in this series, with the Canucks having 9-10 days off before Game 1. If the Canucks pick up right where they left off, the ‘Hawks are in trouble. Games 1 and 2 are critical for Chicago.
2. Top line outplays Vancouver’s… Kane/Toews/Sharp has been a great trio so far, but they’ll have to outplay the Canucks’ top line of Burrows/H. Sedin/D. Sedin. That line’s puck possession will bring many opportunities for the Canucks.
Why the Canucks will win…
You can talk about Sundin, the Sedins and their PK all you want. But Roberto Luongo is the obvious difference maker in this series. If he plays like he did against the Blues, the Canucks will likely move on. He posted a ridiculous .962 save percentage, and a 1.16 goals against in round one. Other reasons why Vancouver will take down Chicago are special teams and scoring from the blue line.
Why the Blackhawks will win…
Chicago is going up against a much more efficient and healthier team in Vancouver rather than Calgary. I believe this is a tough matchup for the ‘Hawks, but they’ll push this series to the limit. Nikolai Khabibulin will have to outplay Luongo… the top line will have to outplay the Sedins… and the blue line and checking lines will have to continue to be really physical. If those three things happen, I like Chicago’s chances. But I just don’t see it at this moment.
PREDICTION… CANUCKS IN 7

Fixing the Sharks

We all know that there will be change in the Bay Area this summer as the Sharks try to retool for playoff success. I’ve put myself in Doug Wilson’s shoes, and decided who stay and who should go. I put them into categories…

1. Immovable and/or will be staying put b/c of contract
Joe Pavelski
Ryan Clowe
Devin Setoguchi
Marcel Goc
Jody Shelley
Torrey Mitchell
Dan Boyle
Brad Lukowich
Marc-Edouard Vlasic
Douglas Murray
Kent Huskins

2. Only trade at the right price
Joe Thornton
Milan Michalek
Evgeni Nabokov

3. Actively shop for a trade during the summer
Patrick Marleau
Jonathan Cheechoo
Christian Ehrhoff

4. UFA and/or expected to retire
Mike Grier
Jeremy Roenick
Travis Moen
Claude Lemieux
Rob Blake*
Alexei Semenov
Brian Boucher

*Blake is the only one I’d consider bringing back if he doesn’t retire

Joe Thornton…
He’s going to receive much of the blame, just because he’s the best player on the team. He was incredibly soft, and his fight with Ryan Getzlaf to kick off Game 6 was a lame attempt to prove to everyone he’s ready to play playoff hockey. The Sharks benefitted from him being in the box for 5 minutes. We all know about his playoff failures and so on, but his contract will likely keep him in San Jose. First of all, he’s making $7.2 million… what team is going to give up highly coveted prospects and picks for someone you know won’t take you to the promise land, especially when you know the cap number is going down sooner rather than later?? Second, he has a no-trade clause in that contract. Why would he want to go anywhere?? If he’s dealt to a hockey hotbed (Toronto, Montreal, New York, etc.) he wouldn’t be able to get away from avoiding the media after season-ending losses. By no means am I on Thornton’s side… all I’m saying is that his contract is going to make it tough for Wilson to trade him. Personally, I think he’s extremely overrated… but that’s just me.

Patrick Marleau…
It’s been long enough for Patty. To me, he doesn’t deserve to have the ‘C’ on his chest anymore; that designation should go to Dan Boyle. Marleau is a pillow that won’t up his game when it matters the most. And if you bring up that he’s a good playoff performer, you watched too many games when they played the Predators. He wilts under pressure. As a captain, the Sharks can’t have that. Either trade him, or strip away the ‘C’ and send him a message. Plus, he just has one year left on his deal… which could be appealing to other GM’s.

Evgeni Nabokov…
(Sigh) I think Nabby is a really good goalie. He should’ve won the Vezina last year. But he doesn’t have ‘it’. Nabby seems to let too many pucks get through him. When I watch him, I always think the puck has a chance to get through, unlike Brodeur, Luongo, Lundqvist, etc. He’s a small guy… 6’0”, 205. So when you’re a smaller ‘tender, you’ve got to play big… and he doesn’t do that too well. The Russian netminder is also getting up there in age (33), and doesn’t need to play nearly 70 games a season. I’d say the Sharks should get him a better backup so they can give Nabby a rest more often, or seek a trade. Like Marleau, he has one year left on his contract. That would be very attractive to teams desperately looking for a goalie.

It’s not quite the time to blow things up. They have a good core, and Todd McLellan deserves another chance to coach this group of players. However, I do see changes coming. Whether it’s Nabby, Patty, or Jumbo Joe… Wilson, if still around, will look to patch things up. I don’t know who they should sign in the summer… I haven’t looked at the list of guys close enough. But the Sharks will be making changes to try to finally get that giant monkey off their back.

1st Round Recaps (EAST)

1) Bruins vs. 8) Canadiens
My prediction for this series:
Bruins in 6
How the series went:
Bruins in 4
Defending my pick:
I thought just the fact that these two are fierce rivals that the Habs would be able to win a couple games. But they had no fight after Game 1, and the B’s cruise to the 2nd round!

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Michael Ryder, BOS (4 goals, 3 assists, +5)
2. Phil Kessel, BOS (4 goals, 2 assists, +2)
3. David Krejci, BOS (2 goals, 3 assists, +6)

Why Boston won…
This team has a feel to it. I’m not gonna sit here and give them the Cup just yet… but Claude Julien has his team clicking on all cylinders; and they have tremendous depth. Their top 2 scoring lines were dynamite, Tim Thomas was solid, and the blue line was really good. The Bruins were just too good in every phase of the game for the Canadiens to sniff out a win.
Why Montreal lost…
Too many reasons to list. Carey Price was below average, and heard the boo birds in Game 4. The injury to Andrei Markov was a killer… probably the most unappreciated d-man in the league. The power play was nonexistent… they went 0/8 in the series. And the team just went through too much adversity over the course of the season. This organization has a big summer coming up.

2) Capitals vs. 7) Rangers
My prediction for this series:

Capitals in 5
How the series went:
Capitals in 7
Defending my pick:
I did not expect Lundqvist to play so well at the beginning of this series, so that’s why I picked the Caps in 5. I’m just happy my East winner is still alive!

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Alex Ovechkin, WSH (3 goals, 4 assists, +5)
2. Alex Semin, WSH (5 goals, 3 assists, +5)
3. Simeon Varlamov, WSH (4-2, 1.17 GAA, .952 SV%, 2 shutouts)

Why Washington won…
Number one, the Caps don’t prevail if Theodore stays between the pipes. It was a great coaching move by Boudreau to put in Varlamov. Secondly, Ovechkin and Semin took over and it was too much for the Rangers’ D in the long haul. Finally, they certainly benefitted from New York’s distractions. To me, those are the 3 biggest reasons why Washington is marching on.
Why New York lost…
They flat out lost focus in their first 3 losses, and they couldn’t recover well enough for Game 7. The offensively challenged Rangers just could not find a way to beat Varlamov after they made Theodore look like a fool in the series opener. In the end, it was a combination of everything as to why the Blueshirts failed to advance… including Lundqvist’s struggles late in the series.

3) Devils vs. 6) Hurricanes
My prediction for this series:
Hurricanes in 6
How the series went:
Hurricanes in 7
Defending my pick:
When the ‘Canes went down 2-1 in the series, I thought this pick was toast. But Carolina fought back and it took one more game than I expected for them to oust New Jersey.

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Eric Staal, CAR (5 goals, 2 assists, +4)
2. Cam Ward, CAR (4-3, 2.11 GAA)
3. Zach Parise, NJ (3 goals, 3 assists)

Why Carolina won…
To be honest, 2 wins in instant classics. When you look at it, the dramatic wins in Games 4 and 7 are the reason why the ‘Canes eliminated the Devils. But Carolina also outplayed the Devils for most of this series; so this series may have gone farther than it should have. The new line of Whitney/Staal/LaRose seems lethal. Ward was dynamite in net when he was needed the most. The puck just bounced the right way for the ‘Canes in this series.
Why New Jersey lost…
2 losses in instant classics. Although they recovered from the buzzer beater 4 with a win in Game 5, Carolina carried that momentum from Game 4. Brodeur had to stand on his hand for almost all of this series as the d-men in front of him were pretty bad. The loss of captain Jamie Langenbrunner did not help their fortunes. And the last 80 seconds of Game 7 will make the next 5 months dreadfully long in New Jersey.

4) Penguins vs. 5) Flyers
My prediction for this series:

Flyers in 7
How the series went:
Penguins in 6
Defending my pick:
It was a gut feeling by picking Philly. I completely overlooked the late-season success by the Pens because of a gut feeling… (sigh).

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Evgeni Malkin, PIT (4 goals, 5 assists)
2. Sidney Crosby, PIT (4 goals, 4 assists, +2)
3. Marc-Andre Fleury, PIT (4-2, 2.39 GAA)

Why Pittsburgh won…
The star trio of Crosby, Malkin, and Fleury were spectacular in this series. Pittsburgh’s penalty kill was solid, killing off 26/30 power plays for the Flyers. The 2-0 lead proved to be too much for Philly to handle. They also got timely secondary scoring from Kennedy and Guerin. Overall, the Pens’ depth overpowered Philly’s.
Why Philadelphia lost…
Too inconsistent. This team didn’t change from the end of the year in that sense. Martin Biron was no more than above-average, which probably signals the end of his time with the team. Another thing that didn’t help was Carter, Timonen, Hartnell, and Lupul all getting held under 2 points for the series.

1st Round Recaps (WEST)

1) Sharks vs. 8) Ducks
My prediction for this series:
Sharks in 7
How the series went:
Ducks in 6
Defending my pick:
I couldn’t make up my mind on this pick, but I had a good feeling that this series would go 6+. I thought the Sharks beat themselves by losing the first 2 at home.

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Jonas Hiller, ANA (4-2, 1.64 GAA, .957 SV%)
2. Scott Niedermayer, ANA (1 goal, 4 assists, +3, 0 PIM)
3. Ryan Getzlaf, ANA (2 goals, 6 assists, +5)

Why Anaheim won…
This series win was a tremendous group effort by all 18 skaters + Hiller. The defensemen were close to dominant, the top line of Perry/Getzlaf/Ryan was almost unstoppable, Hiller was a wall between the pipes, and the role players did their job. The Ducks’ special teams should also be commended. The PK on the road was sensational, killing off 14 of 15 at HP Pavilion. This will go down as an 8 versus 1 upset, but it really doesn’t feel that way.
Why San Jose lost…
Like I said above, they lost this series in the first 2 games. They weren’t ready to play, the Ducks were. And I think that 0-2 deficit was just too much for even the best team in the regular season to climb out of. Joe Thornton would show up, and then completely disappear. Nabby wasn’t clutch in net when the team needed him the most. Overall, a very disappointing postseason for the Presidents’ Trophy winners.

2) Red Wings vs. 7) Blue Jackets
My prediction for this series:

Red Wings in 5
How the series went:
Red Wings in 4
Defending my pick:
A popular upset pick was Columbus over Detroit… I wasn’t buying it one bit! I expected the Wings to flip the switch, but didn’t think they’d sweep the Jackets.

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Johan Franzen, DET (2 goals, 4 assists, +4)
2. Daniel Cleary, DET (2 goals, 3 assists, +6)
3. Chris Osgood, DET (4-0, 1.75 GAA)

Why Detroit won…
I’m beating a dead horse here – the Wings flipped the switch. It was hard picking those 3 stars above because they had so many. They got scoring from everyone in this series. The power play was lethal. Ozzie returned to his form from last spring. And they also got a pretty good draw with Columbus… no travel, Jackets’ first playoff appearance… yada, yada.
Why Columbus lost…
They were lost in the first 3 games of this series. Hitchcock’s gang did not look like a playoff team. They improved their effort in Game 4, but it was obviously too little, too late. Steve Mason was going in circles in his crease, the offense couldn’t generate any consistent pressure, and Detroit was just flat out 10-times better.

3) Canucks vs. 6) Blues
My prediction for this series:
Canucks in 6
How the series went:
Canucks in 4
Defending my pick:
I really thought St. Louis would be able to push Vancouver in this series. The Canucks are still my Cup pick (barely), so I was glad to see them finish it off in four.

Three Stars of the Series:

1. Roberto Luongo, VAN (4-0, 1.16 GAA)
2. Daniel Sedin, VAN (2 G, 3 A, +4)
3. Andy McDonald, STL (1 G, 3 A, +1)

Why Vancouver won…
Luongo and special teams. ‘Bobby Lu’ played like the world-class goaltender like he is, turning away 126 of St. Louis’ 131 shots. When the Canucks would lose momentum in a game, Luongo would step up big-time and take it right back from them. Also, the special teams were huge for Vancouver. They killed off 23 of the Blues’ 24 power plays, including 3 or 4 5-on-3’s. And on the power play, the Canucks went 4/17.
Why St. Louis lost…
The team that played in Games 3 and 4 looked 5-times better than the one that showed up in Western Canada for the first 2 games. At no point in Games 1 or 2 did I think they would come away victorious. St. Louis could’ve easily won either game at home, but just could not convert on the power play. Special teams obviously bit them in the rear, and they were probably just gassed from their remarkable late-season run.

4) Blackhawks vs. 5) Flames
My prediction for this series:
Blackhawks in 7
How the series went:
Blackhawks in 6
Defending my pick:
I thought long and hard about this pick… I actually lost a bit of sleep over it, to tell you the truth. This series went about as I expected – close and physical.

Three Stars of the Series:
1. Patrick Sharp, CHI (3 goals, 3 assists)
2. Kris Versteeg, CHI (2 goals, 5 assists)
3. Jonathan Toews, CHI (2 goals, 4 assists, +3, won 61% of face-offs)

Why Chicago won…

I think we all had a good idea the ‘Hawks had the upper hand in this series after showing great maturity in the first 2 games of the series; you could almost see them grow up together. The special teams were awesome, as they converted over 20% of their power plays, and did a masterful job on the PK. And I’m not gonna move on until I mention bench boss Joel Quenneville. He did a great job of adjusting and shutting down Iginla & Jokinen with certain defensive matchups.
Why Calgary lost…
Special teams played a big role in their 4th straight 1st round exit… so did the inconsistencies of Iginla, Jokinen, and Kiprusoff. But IMO, the biggest reason why they failed to beat the ‘Hawks was injuries. They were way too banged up. Regehr didn’t play in the series. Sarich, Langkow, and Conroy were just a few that played through injuries. That was too much for the Flames up against a healthy and hungry Chicago team. Even if Calgary was healthy, I don’t think the result would’ve been different here.

Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/29)

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The Morning After:
My 3 stars from last night:
1. Eric Staal
(1 goal, 1 assist)
Staal’s late game heroics send the ‘Canes to a 2nd round date with Boston.
2. Sergei Fedorov (1 goal)
Fedorov’s wicked wrister late in the game was the series-clincher for the Caps.
3. Cam Ward (32 saves)
When the 'Canes were down 3-2, Ward was awesome and kept his team in the game.
Best atmosphere: Washington
Caps fans rocked the red, and pushed their team to a Game 7 victory.
‘RLD Game-Changing Performance’ of the night:
Jussi Jokinen
… This game was over. Carolina wasn’t getting much on Brodeur until the last couple minutes. Jokinen’s one-timer later set up Staal’s game-winner with 31.7 seconds remaining.

The improbable comeback

Game 7 Madness!


If there was any doubt that the Stanley Cup Playoffs were second to none, tonight proved just why these playoffs top anything else. And if these happen to be the only Game 7’s this postseason, I’m fine with it! Wow wee what a night!!

‘Canes @ Devils
Another instant classic for this epic series! Chris, I feel for ya man. In the first 30 minutes of this game, these two scored as many goals as the last 2 games combined (5). But then the goalie battle began, as Ward and Brodeur settled in and took over. With about 3 minutes left, I could have sworn that the Devils would win this. Not so fast, my friend. Joni Pitkanen found a wide open Jussi Jokinen back-door, as he tied the game at 3 with 1:20 to go… I was stunned; but then thought that overtime in Game 7 is fitting for this series. Tim Gleason made a helluva play before Pitkanen’s pass. Gleason kept the puck inside the blue line by sprawling out and dishing it to Pitkanen. Well less than a minute later, Eric Staal stunned the whole hockey world as he ripped one past Marty to give Carolina an improbable 4-3 edge. A stunning, stunning end to this one… a finish that was certainly fitting given that 5 of the 7 games were decided by one goal.

Rangers @ Caps
The Rangers came out flyin’, and took an early 1-0 lead with Antropov’s goal. That tally seemed to hush the see of red in DC. But Alex Semin’s quirky goal knotted the game at 1. A chess game ensued as no one wanted to give the other team a quality scoring chance. That game of strategy came to an end when Sergei Fedorov fired a pinpoint wrist shot over Lundqvist’s shoulder to give the Caps a 2-1 advantage. The Verizon Center exploded!!! And the next 5 minutes the crowd pushed their Capitals to a Game 7 victory over New York. The Rangers couldn’t even get Lundqvist to the bench for the extra attacker! Big props to Boudreau & company for pulling off the comeback from a 3-1 deficit. The way this game started, I really thought the Blueshirts were going to do it. But as the game went on, you could slowly see the tide turning. New York mustered only one shot on Varlamov in the 3rd… one! Just another great Game 7…

How my picks went...

I had…
1) Bruins over 8) Canadiens in 6
2) Capitals over 7) Rangers in 5
6) Hurricanes over 3) Devils in 6
5) Flyers over 4) Penguins in 7
--
1) Sharks over 8) Ducks in 7
2) Red Wings over 7) Blue Jackets in 5
3) Canucks over 6) Blues in 6
4) Blackhawks over 5) Blackhawks in 7

Overall, pretty good – I got 6/8 correct. But I didn’t get any of the games right… which I’m not too thrilled about! Hopefully the 2nd round picks will be a bit more accurate!

How did the ‘RLD Playoff Formula’ do??
These were its selections…

1) Bruins over 8) Canadiens in 4 or 5
2) Capitals over 7) Rangers in 4 or 5
3) Devils over 6) Hurricanes in 6 or 7
5) Flyers over 4) Penguins in 6 or 7
--
1) Sharks over 8) Ducks in 4 or 5
2) Red Wings over 7) Blue Jackets in 4 or 5
3) Canucks over 6) Blues in 6 or 7
4) Blackhawks over 5) Flames in 4 or 5

Not as good as my personal selections… I got Carolina right; the formula predicted the Devils would win. The formula went 5/8, which is respectable!

Game Seven

Those are the two best words in sports. Nothing compares to a Game 7, especially in these Stanley Cup Playoffs. It’s your opportunity to play for another 2 weeks and to keep the dream alive… or it’s the 60 minutes of hockey that you’ll be thinking about when you’re down in Florida playin’ golf with your buddies. Every shift is a grind and played like it’s your last. Every save by your goaltender gets you that much closer to the next round. Every penalty kill is a battle that is played like it’s do or die. Every hit makes your opponent a tad weaker. Every goal brings unparalleled excitement through the arena and on the bench. Every Game 7 has a hero and a goat. Every Game 7 should be cherished and remembered.

Last year, there were only 3 Game 7’s in the postseason, and all 3 took place in the opening round. So these 2 games tonight could be the only Game 7’s in these playoffs (hopefully not). Tonight’s game should be awesome!! Enjoy the ride as 2 teams will live for another day, and other 2 will be headed home earlier than they expected.

NHL09 Simulation: NYR @ WSH, CAR @ NJ

The NHL09 simulations continue! Throughout the playoffs, I’ll simulate 1-2 games for that upcoming night and post the results right here. The rosters are updated, injured players are out of the lineup, and the players’ overalls are as close to real life as possible.
Today, I let the computer play out both Game 7’s for tonight…
Simulation Record: 8-4

New York @ Washington, Game 7
Scoring Summary:

1st Period
None
2nd Period
None
3rd Period
NYR- Nikolai Zherdev (2:58, Dubinsky and Sjostrom)
WSH- Tomas Fleischmann (18:11, Poti and Nylander)
Overtime
WSH- Alexander Ovechkin (2:28, Backstrom and Green)

Team Stats:
Shots
NYR- 21, WSH- 29
Power Plays
NYR- 0/1, WSH- 0/2

Final: CAPITALS 2, RANGERS 1 (OT)
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Carolina @ New Jersey, Game 7
Scoring Summary:
1st Period
None
2nd Period
NJ- Brendan Shanahan (16:34, PP, unassisted)
3rd Period
NJ- Paul Martin (19:56, EN, Langenbrunner and Parise)

Team Stats:
Shots
CAR- 27, NJ- 25
Power Plays
CAR- 0/2, NJ- 1/1

Final: DEVILS 2, HURRICANES 0

Best 8 seed ever??

As the Ducks handled the top-seeded Sharks in the first round, an interesting thought kept creeping into my head… could they be the best 8-seed ever?? Think about it… Stars like Getzlaf, Pronger, Perry, Niedermayer, Ryan, and Selanne. A great group of complimentary players: Whitney, Beauchemin, Marchant, the other Niedermayer, Christensen, and Wisniewski. A previously unknown 27-year-old Swiss goalie that is as cool as could be between the pipes. Let’s not forget, a good chunk of this group won the Holy Grail together just two years ago. If they go on to beat the Detroit Red Wings in the second round, how can Randy Carlyle’s gang not be the best 8-seed?? To take down two of the league’s three best teams would be a remarkable feat.

GM Bob Murray had a tough task by filling Brian Burke’s giant shoes. And he certainly took some heat for his deadline moves, including from me (read here). And to Mr. Murray, I owe him an apology. At the time I doubted the moves he made, and designated Anaheim as ‘losers’ at the deadline. But the change of personnel gives this team new blood, which is good in the new NHL. These were the changes made before the deadline:
In… Whitney, Wisniewski, Christensen, Nokelainen
Out… Kunitz, Pahlsson, Moen, Huskins, Montador
To Murray’s credit these moves are paying dividends. All four of those acquisitions played key roles in the Ducks’ first round upset, whether big or small. They clearly kept the defensive philosophy, and now have a helluva back end.

Let’s look at Anaheim’s only other competitor as the ‘best 8th seed’… the 2006 Edmonton Oilers:
I remember their run through the playoffs like it was yesterday. The Ales Hemsky goal to knock out Detroit… the Horcoff goal in triple OT to avoid a 0-3 deficit to the Sharks… Roloson’s ice-length pass to Peca for a SH goal in Anaheim… Fernando Pisani’s breakaway OT goal in Carolina to keep the dream alive. They were the ultimate Cinderella. Chris Pronger led them defensively, while ‘Roli the Goalie’ caught a spark and ran with it. The rest of the roster was loaded with guys who played with heart and character, Ryan Smyth in particular.

They were not given a shot at all to dethrone the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Red Wings in round one. Then they were doubted in round two… round three… and the Cup finals. These Oilers, the only 8-seed to make it to the finals in NHL history, pushed the Hurricanes to a Game 7. And they were a Cam Ward sprawling pad save away from taking that seventh game to overtime. A healthy Roloson could’ve been enough to give Edmonton the Cup. But nevertheless, up until this spring, the Oilers held a firm grip as the best 8-seed in league history.

The Ducks still have a long way to go before we start crowing them in this category. Let’s be real… their next opponent is the defending champ Red Wings. They just came off a dominating first round performance against the playoff virgin Blue Jackets. Osgood is back, the team has flipped the switch, and everyone is scoring. But here are 3 reasons why Anaheim has a legit shot against Detroit.
1. Great road team (They have not lost in regulation on the road since 2/26)
2. Hiller (He will give the Wings plenty of fits)
3. The blue line (2 HOF’s and 3 solid role players… could Columbus say that about their D?? That’s what I thought)
The Ducks certainly have all of the ingredients to pull another upset. The only issue is if they’ll actually get the job done, and answer that aforementioned question themselves.

Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/28)

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The Morning After:
My 3 stars from last night:
1. Jonas Hiller
(36 saves, 1 GA)
Hiller survived many storms from the Sharks in the first couple periods.
2. Nikolai Khabibulin (43 saves, 1 GA)
The ‘Bulin Wall’ was in full force tonight as he helped extinguish the Flames.
3. Ryan Getzlaf (1 goal, 1 assist)
Getzlaf was a force, and his wicked wrister put the game on ice. I also loved how he and Thornton fought to lead off the game!
Best atmosphere: Anaheim

The Ducks fans showed and gave their team an extra boost.
‘RLD Game-Changing Performance’ of the night:
Teemu Selanne
… Selanne’s power play goal in the 2nd really got things off and running for the Ducks. His intended pass for Getzlaf was deflected in by San Jose’s Christian Ehrhoff. After that, Anaheim scored again over a minute later… and the rest is history!
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Games of the Night:
7) New York Rangers @ 2) Washington Capitals

Game 7, 7:00 ET… TV: VERSUS, TSN, Local Networks
Series tied, 3-3

Players to watch:
NYR- Chris Drury

I think Drury needs to step up big time tonight.
WSH- Mike Green
He is the Caps’ x-factor on the power play.

Starting Goaltenders:
NYR- Henrik Lundqvist
(Playoff stats: 3-3, 3.19 GAA)
WSH- Simeon Varlamov (Playoff stats: 3-2, 1.21 GAA)

Injury Report:
NYR-
Blair Betts (head/eye, out)
WSH- Donald Brashear (suspended), Jeff Schultz (upper body, doubtful), Chris Clark (wrist, questionable)

Game Thoughts:
When you look at a ‘one game for it all’ situation like this, the first thing you look at the goaltending matchup. Lundqvist has been great in the Rangers’ 3 wins, but awful in the 3 losses. For the rookie Varlamov, it doesn’t matter if it’s been a win or loss; he’s been cool and collective between the pipes. And with the Rangers’ confidence seemingly shot, I think Washington will pull through at home tonight.

Prediction: Capitals 3, Rangers 1
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6) Carolina Hurricanes @ 3) New Jersey Devils
Game 7, 7:30 ET… TV: VERSUS (JIP), TSN2, Local Networks
Series tied, 3-3

Players to watch:
CAR- Eric Staal
This is his team, and he has to have a spectacular game tonight.
NJ- Zach Parise
Parise has suddenly gone silent, going without a point in the last 3 games. That could change tonight.

Starting Goaltenders:
CAR- Cam Ward
(Playoff stats: 3-3, 1.96 GAA)
NJ- Martin Brodeur (Playoff stats: 3-3, 2.12 GAA)

Injury Report:
CAR-
None
NJ- Bryce Salvador (knee, questionable)

Game Thoughts:
The 4-0 drubbing may have been the best thing to happen to New Jersey; it really could wake them up. The ‘Canes need to come out flying like they did in Game 6, but it will be tougher given they’ll be on the road. This one will be a goaltending duel once again, and I’ll take Brodeur over Ward, especially with him at home. It’ll be an exciting one with the Devils moving on…

Prediction: Devils 2, Hurricanes 1

Why this year is different

Last spring, the Washington Capitals trailed the Flyers 3-1 in their first round series. Philly had won 3 straight after the Caps rallied to win Game 1. They had complete control of the series. But Washington held on to win Game 5, and then rallied in Game 6 to win 4-2 and force a Game 7, which was the very next night. The Flyers ended up winning the decisive game in overtime, and going all the way to the conference finals where they were ousted by Pittsburgh.

This year, the Caps found themselves in the same situation after a 2-1 loss to New York in Game 4. You felt like the Rangers had Boudreau’s gang in a stranglehold. But the Caps have stormed back and dominated Games 5 & 6. They’ve made some great adjustments as they’re now getting some great scoring chances, and have found a way to make King Henrik look like a sieve these past 2 games.

So when you step back and look at these 2 series, you’ll think it’s the exact same situation. That’s true in a way… but this year is different for the Capitals. Last season, they had a similar run to the Blues’. Washington went 14-4 in their last 18 games, including winning 7 in a row. But to rally to make the playoffs, and then rally again to force the 7th game, those Caps were gassed. And, they were inexperienced with the big guns appearing in their first playoffs.

But tomorrow’s Game 7 is different. The Caps were one of the best teams all season long. They have now tasted and experienced a Game 7 after last year; and this team is on a mission… they’re now ‘just happy to be here’. Their goal since September has been to win the Cup. Also, it’s been the way the Caps have won these last 2 games… they’ve completely dominated, and may have worn down the Rangers with their speed and physical play.

So when the puck drops tomorrow, I expect to see a calm, while desperate, Caps team that has a good chance at completing the comeback from a 3-1 series deficit this time around.

NHL09 Simulation: SJ @ ANA

A new feature for the postseason here at the RLD will be NHL09 simulations. Pretty frequently I’ll simulate a game for the night on EA Sports’ awesome hockey video game. The rosters are updated, injured players are out of the lineup, and the players’ overalls are as close to real life as possible.
Today, I let the computer play out Game 6 of Sharks-Ducks…
Simulation Record: 8-3

San Jose @ Anaheim, Game 6
Scoring Summary:

1st Period
ANA- Drew Miller (10:19, Nokelainen and Whitney)
2nd Period
SJ- Joe Pavelski (3:57, PP, unassisted)
3rd Period
None
Overtime
None
2nd Overtime
SJ- Dan Boyle (1:20, PP, Blake and Marleau)

Team Stats:
Shots
SJ- 32, ANA- 34
Power Plays
SJ- 2/3, ANA- 0/3

Final: SHARKS 2, DUCKS 1 (OT)

Tune in tomorrow as I’ll simulate both Game 7’s from the Eastern Conference!

Keys to a comeback for CGY & SJ

Which team has the best chance to complete the comeback from a 3-2 series deficit??
Calgary
X-factor
… Olli Jokinen
Jokinen was great at home in Games 3 and 4. But he disappeared in Game 5, picking up 2 shots and a -2 rating. He played to his potential in the Flames’ 6-4 win last week, and was all over the place when he wasn’t scoring. For Calgary to end up winning this series, Jokinen has to play two of the best games in his career.
Key to the comeback… Stop the bleeding. This may be even tougher to do now that Dion Phaneuf could miss tonight’s game. But the ‘Hawks have done a good job at stringing together goals in bunches. Calgary needs to stop the bleeding before they get 2 in a row. This means they must play better defensively, and on the PK.
Will they complete the comeback?
It’s going to be awfully tough. The ‘young Hawks’ know how to play playoff hockey… which is HUGE! The Flames are going to need calls to go their way and have the hockey gods smiling down to win these next 2 games.

San Jose
X-factor
… Joe Thornton
There are no more excuses for Jumbo Joe. After his performance in Game 5, he should understand that that is how he needs to play in the postseason. If he keeps it up, the Sharks have a shot at coming back from 3-1 down. If he fizzles tonight in Game 6 or in a possible 7th game, see ya later San Jose.
Key to the comeback… Win the special teams battle. The Sharks are 2-0 when scoring on the power play and 0-3 when being shutout on the man advantage… it’s been that simple. Their special teams units, though, have been outplayed by the Ducks most of the series.
Will they complete the comeback?
Like Calgary, it’s going to be tough. I cannot stress enough about the veteran presence of Anaheim with Niedermayer, Pronger, Selanne, and so on. That locker room will be calm going into Game 6. The Sharks will have to go out and play 2 straight flawless games to move on. My gut says they'll fall short.

Which team has the BEST chance at completing the comeback??
San Jose, because their biggest hurdle is ahead of them. A Game 6 win would give the Sharks the upper hand in Game 7, especially if the win is convincing. But in the end, I don’t see either the Flames or Sharks completing the comeback…

Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/27)

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The Morning After:
My 3 stars from last night:
1. Eric Staal
(2 goals, 1 assist)
Staal put the ‘Canes on his back last night and led ‘em to victory.
2. Ray Whitney (1 goal, 3 assists)
Right by Staal’s side, Whitney put together a great game… all 3 of helpers were primary assists!
3. Tom Poti (1 goal, 3 assists)
Tom Poti, of all people, picked up 4 huge points as the Caps thrashed the Rangers.
Best atmosphere: Carolina
Big props to the ‘Caniacs’ as the RBC Center was as electric as it’s been this postseason.
‘RLD Game-Changing Performance’ of the night:
Eric Staal
… Staal’s 2 goals less than 3 minutes apart quickly put Carolina up 3-0; a lead that the ‘Canes were not going to give up again (like Gm 4). Staal’s first goal beat Brodeur five hole, and then he beat him on a slick one-timer just minutes later.
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Tonight’s Slate:
Blackhawks @ Flames, Game 6, 9:30 ET
Sharks @ Ducks, Game 6, 10:30

Games of the Night:
4) Chicago Blackhawks @ 5) Calgary Flames

Game 6, 9:30 ET… TV: VERSUS, TSN, Local Networks
Blackhawks lead series, 3-2

Players to watch:
CHI- Kris Versteeg

Versteeg has had an underappreciated series… he’s been quite a sparkplug.
CGY- Jarome Iginla
With the season on the line, ‘Iggy’ has to lead the way for Calgary.

Starting Goaltenders:
CHI- Nikolai Khabibulin
(Playoff stats: 3-2, 2.83 GAA)
CGY- Miikka Kiprusoff (Playoff stats: 2-3, 2.57 GAA)

Injury Report:
CHI-
Brent Sopel (elbow, out)
CGY- Dion Phaneuf (undisclosed, questionable), Robyn Regehr (knee, out), Rhett Warrener (shoulder, out), Mark Giordano (shoulder, out), Wayne Primeau (foot, out)

Game Thoughts:

Calgary is going to play extremely desperate, and it’ll be interesting to see how Chicago reacts to it. There will be hits galore, and the tensions will rise. Although I don’t think the ‘Hawks will have an issue there, the Flames will play well enough to force Game 7. But they can’t allow the ‘Hawks to score 2 or 3 in a row like they have previously in this series.

Prediction: Flames 4, Blackhawks 2
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1) San Jose Sharks @ 8) Anaheim Ducks
Game 6, 10:30 ET… TV: VERSUS (JIP), CBC, Local Networks
Ducks lead series, 3-2

Players to watch:
SJ- Joe Thornton

Big Joe has to have a similar effort tonight as he did on Saturday for the Sharks to have a chance.
ANA- Scott Niedermayer
The Ducks’ captain was all over the place in Game 5; expect the same tonight.

Starting Goaltenders:
SJ- Evgeni Nabokov
(Playoff stats: 2-3, 2.57 GAA)
ANA- Jonas Hiller (Playoff stats: 3-2, 1.77 GAA)

Injury Report:
SJ-
None
ANA- Petteri Nokelainen (upper body, questionable), Bret Hedican (back, out)

Game Thoughts:
If Anaheim plays like they did in the 3rd period and overtime of Game 5, they will win tonight. Like I said before Game 4… the Ducks are a veteran group that knows how to win. San Jose can win this game with their power play, but in the end, I think the Ducks wrap things up at home.

Prediction: Ducks 3, Sharks 2

Caps and 'Canes force Game 7's!

Just two things that make the playoffs so awesome are series that go far and unpredictability. Going into Sunday’s action, I thought both the Devils and Rangers would wrap up their respective series. But instead, the desperation of the Caps and Canes has let them live for another day!

Washington has taken full momentum and run with it. Game 5 was dominated by the Caps, and today’s Game 6 was more of the same. Mike Green, who was apparently playing through the flu earlier in the series, has awakened in these last couple of games. Ovechkin has been a wreckin’ ball as always. And Simeon Varlamov has been tantalizing between the pipes. Also, they’ve received big contributions from the unexpected (Bradley, Poti, etc.). When you look ahead to Tuesday’s Game 7, the Capitals have to have the clear advantage over New York. They’ve exploited Henrik Lundqvist’s weaknesses and have chased him in the last 2 games. The Rangers also look lifeless. Put those two together with Tortorella’s antics, and you’ve got the team that struggled to make the playoffs, not the club that won 6 of 7 heading into Game 5.

Hurricane Eric (Staal) could’ve been considered a category 5 in Game 6 vs. the Devils. He was a force, tallying 2 goals and an assist in the Canes’ 5-0 victory tonight. This was the Carolina effort I expected tonight… I just didn’t expect New Jersey to come out flat. The Canes set the tone early in the game, outshooting the Devils 15-4 in the 1st. Then 2 quick goals by Staal in the 2nd closed the door on the Devils’ chances. Cam Ward wasn’t going to let another 3-0 lead slip away. The new line of Staal, Ray Whitney, and Chad LaRose was electric; they were on the ice for Carolina’s first 3 goals. Now Brent Sutter has to gather his team before Tuesday’s decisive game. New Jersey had no legs early in the game... and when they finally did show up, they were in the 0-3 hole. Going back home, I still think the Devils are the favorites to move on. Brodeur and the rest of those veterans have the upper hand in the Game 7 situation. But it won’t come easy! Tuesday shall be another battle between 2 great goaltenders.

Game Seven. The two best words in sports!! After tomorrow, we may have a total of 4 of them in this crazy opening round…

Playoff Fever Unleashed!!!

- Nationwide Arena going crazy as the Jackets come on the ice for Game 3!!

- Flames fans sing the Canadian anthem at the Saddledome! Very cool...

- The Flames' pre-game video intro... they always do a great job on these.

- The Capitals' pre-game video intro for the playoffs...

- The Flyers' pre-game video intro for the playoffs... sweet video!!

- RBC Center going nuts as the 'Canes come on to the ice!!

- The CBC intro for Game 1 of Canucks/Blues. Watch in HD!!!!

- Canucks fans celebrating on the streets of Vancouver after sweeping the Blues

NHL09 Simulation: NJ @ CAR

A new feature for the postseason here at the RLD will be NHL09 simulations. Pretty frequently I’ll simulate a game for the night on EA Sports’ awesome hockey video game. The rosters are updated, injured players are out of the lineup, and the players’ overalls are as close to real life as possible.
Today, I let the computer play out Game 6 of Devils-‘Canes…
Simulation Record: 8-2

New Jersey @ Carolina, Game 6
Scoring Summary:
1st Period
NJ- Paul Martin (17:26, Elias and Zubrus)
NJ- Brendan Shanahan (19:33, Madden)
2nd Period
None
3rd Period
NJ- Travis Zajac (19:14, EN, Parise and Martin)

Team Stats:
Shots
NJ- 25, CAR- 21
Power Plays
NJ- 0/3, CAR- 0/2

Final: DEVILS 3, HURRICANES 0

Tune in tomorrow as I’ll simulate Game 6 between the Ducks & Sharks!!

Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/26)

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The Morning After:
My 3 stars from last night:
1. Marleau & Thornton

They’re a package deal as the #1 star… both were great last night, and combined for 5 points.
2. Brent Seabrook (1 goal, 2 assists)
Seabrook had a great all-around game; a big reason why Chicago beat Calgary.
3. Sidney Crosby (2 goals)
Sid put in a great effort yesterday, putting in 2 goals (1 EN) and was all over the place.
Best atmosphere: San Jose
The Shark Tank willed their team to a great OT victory… great atmosphere.
‘RLD Game-Changing Performance’ of the night:
Ruslan Fedotenko
… Following the Carcillo/Talbot fight, and down 3-0, Fedotenko’s garbage goal sparked a classic Pens rally to eliminate the Flyers.
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Tonight’s Slate:
Capitals @ Rangers, 2:00 ET
Devils @ Hurricanes, 7:30

Games of the Night:
2) Washington Capitals @ 7) New York Rangers

Game 6, 2:00 ET… TV: NBC, TSN
Rangers lead series, 3-2

Players to watch:
WSH- Alexander Semin

The Rangers will look to bottle up Ovie again, so Semin needs to have a good game.
NYR- Sean Avery
If he plays a disciplined, effective game, I like New York’s chances.

Starting Goaltenders:
WSH- Simeon Varlamov
(Playoff stats: 2-2, 0.76 GAA)
NYR- Henrik Lundqvist (Playoff stats: 3-2, 2.57 GAA)

Injury Report:
WSH-
Jeff Schultz (upper body, doubtful), Chris Clark (wrist, questionable), Quintin Laing (spleen, out)
NYR- None

Game Thoughts:
Let me say this: I’d be shocked if the Caps scored 4 goals today… shocked! The other time Lundqvist gave up 4, he followed it up with a spectacular performance. With Torts suspended, the Blueshirts play an inspired game and discard the Capitals.

Prediction: Rangers 3, Capitals 2
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3) New Jersey Devils @ 6) Carolina Hurricanes
Game 6, 7:30 ET… TV: VERSUS, TSN, Local Networks
Devils lead series, 3-2

Players to watch:
NJ- Zach Parise
Parise has been really good in this series.
CAR- Eric Staal
Look for Staal to get to the front of the net and try to give Marty fits.

Starting Goaltenders:
NJ- Martin Brodeur
(Playoff stats: 3-2, 1.76 GAA)
CAR- Cam Ward (Playoff stats: 2-3, 2.35 GAA)

Injury Report:
NJ-
Jamie Langenbrunner (lower body, questionable), Bryce Salvador (knee, questionable)
CAR- Sergei Samsonov (lower body, questionable)

Game Thoughts:
Goals will be hard to come by once again… hopefully Ward and Brodeur can put on another show like they did in Game 5. I really think the Devils will avoid a 7th game and win a close one today. It’s just a hunch, but I can’t see the ‘Canes forcing another game… they woke up Brodeur after their dramatic Game 4 win.

Prediction: Devils 2, Hurricanes 1 (OT)

Is Carcillo to blame in Philly?


Flyers goon Daniel Carcillo will receive much of the heat for the Flyers’ season-ending loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday. Philly held a 3-0 lead, but failed to hold onto it as the Pens found another gear (or two). Much of the blame for the Flyers is pointed to Carcillo for deciding to fight Max Talbot 15 seconds after his team took the 3-0 lead. Although Carcillo seemed to win the fight, the tangle inspired Pittsburgh more. 14 seconds later, Ruslan Fedotenko jammed in the puck in traffic… and the rest is history.

So is Carcillo the one to blame for Philly’s loss?? No. They had too many defensive breakdowns after that fight. Sidney Crosby and Mark Eaton scored in close in the 2nd period, each batting the puck past Martin Biron. On those 2 goals, Philly’s d-men were spectators, making the goals too easy for the Pens. The team also failed to match Pittsburgh’s intensity in final 35+ minutes, and only mustered 5 shots on Fleury in the 3rd. Even though Carcillo played just 2 total minutes after the fight, every other Flyer should accept the same amount of blame.

The Flyers proved today that a 3-0 lead can be almost as bad as a 2-0 lead. They took the foot off the pedal, assuming a Game 7 would be necessary on Monday. But obviously, the Penguins are now marching on, and the consistently inconsistent Flyers are heading home earlier than they expected.

Mock Draft 1.0

With the NFL conducting their annual draft today, I thought I’d do an NHL mock draft, though it’s a couple months away yet…
1. New York Islanders
C John Tavares
(London, OHL)
2. Tampa Bay Lightning
D Victor Hedman
(Modo, Sweden)
3. Colorado Avalanche
C Matt Duchene
(Brampton, OHL)
4. Atlanta Thrashers
C Evander Kane
(Vancouver, WHL)
5. Los Angeles Kings
LW Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson
(Timra, Sweden)
6. Phoenix Coyotes
D Jared Cowen
(Spokane, WHL)
7. Toronto Maple Leafs
C Brayden Schenn
(Brandon, WHL)
8. Dallas Stars
D Dmitri Kulikov
(Drummondville, QMJHL)
9. Ottawa Senators
D Oliver Ekman-Larsson
(Leksands, Sweden)
10. Edmonton Oilers
C Nazem Kadri
(London, OHL)
11. Nashville Predators
RW Jordan Schroeder
(U. of Minnesota, WCHA)
12. Minnesota Wild
D Ryan Ellis
(Windsor, OHL)
13. Buffalo Sabres
C Jacob Josefson
(Djurgarden, Sweden)
14. Florida Panthers
C Peter Holland
(Guelph, OHL)
15. Anaheim Ducks
D John Moore
(Chicago, USHL)
16. Columbus Blue Jackets
C Louis Leblanc
(Omaha, USHL)
17. St. Louis Blues
F Scott Glennie
(Brandon, WHL)
18. Montreal Canadiens
D Simon Despres
(Saint John, QMJHL)
19. New York Rangers
RW Landon Ferraro
(Red Deer, WHL)
20. Carolina Hurricanes
RW Zack Kassian
(Peterborough, OHL)
21. Phoenix Coyotes (from CGY)
C Kyle Palmieri
(USA18, NTDP)
22. Philadelphia Flyers
C Drew Shore
(USA18, NTDP)
23. Pittsburgh Penguins
LW Chris Kreider
(Andover, MA-HS)
24. Vancouver Canucks
D David Rundblad
(Skelleftea, Sweden)
25. Chicago Blackhawks
D Nick Leddy
(Eden Prairie, MN-HS)
26. New Jersey Devils
D Stefan Elliott
(Saskatoon, WHL)
27. Washington Capitals
C Jordan Caron
(Rimouski, QMJHL)
28. Detroit Red Wings
LW Marcus Johansson
(Farjestad, Sweden)
29. Boston Bruins
G Matthew Hackett
(Plymouth, OHL)
30. New York Islanders (from SJ)
LW Carter Ashton
(Lethbridge, WHL)

Keys to a comeback for PHI & WSH

Which team has the best chance to complete the comeback from a 3-1 series deficit??
Philadelphia
X-factor
… Martin Biron
Biron has been pretty darn good so far in this series, but he’s gonna have to be better. He’ll have to have two more games like his performance in Game 5. If he falters one bit, I don’t think they’ll end up winning 3 straight and moving on.
Key to the comeback… Balanced scoring. Claude Giroux and Simon Gagne are the only ones with more than one goal; which isn’t a good thing. Guys like Richards, Carter, and Hartnell need to step up. Also, Briere and Lupul have been held scoreless in the series. If they are to win this series, Carter and Richards especially need to get things going, and the top 3 lines to need to contribute.
Will they complete the comeback?
This is tough. I picked the Flyers to win in seven, but I didn’t expect them to be in a 3-1 hole. Philly CAN win these last 2 games… but I don’t think they WILL. If the Flyers win today, Pittsburgh will be jacked up to play Game 7 at home. The Flyers won’t go down without a fight, though.


Washington
X-factor
… Mike Green
Green had his best game of the series last night… and now he has to build off of it. He’s gonna have to be the man to lead Washington’s currently abysmal power play. He has 3 assists in this series, but like I said, he’s going to have to up his game (defensively and offensively) in Games 6 and 7 for the Caps to move on.
Key to the comeback… Power play. This is simple… the Caps’ man advantage must start finding a way to score. They’re 4/29 in the series, and were 0/7 last night. If they can keep it simple and just pelt Lundqvist with frozen rubber, they might be to get the ball rolling and win this in seven.
Will they complete the comeback?
The winner of Game 6 will win this series. If the Caps bring the series back to DC for a 7th game, they’re going to beat the Rangers. I think they have a good shot, as they finally seem confident offensively. But you know Lundqvist will be inspired on Sunday after a lackluster effort. CAN they do it? Definitely. WILL they do it? Uhhhh… I don't think so.

Which team has the BEST chance at completing the comeback?? The Capitals, because Game 7 would be at their own barn.

NHL09 Simulation: PIT @ PHI

A new feature for the postseason here at the RLD will be NHL09 simulations. Pretty frequently I’ll simulate a game for the night on EA Sports’ awesome hockey video game. The rosters are updated, injured players are out of the lineup, and the players’ overalls are as close to real life as possible.
Today, I let the computer play out Game 6 of Penguins-Flyers…
Simulation Record: 7-2

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia, Game 6
Scoring Summary:
1st Period
PIT- Jordan Staal (10:32, Guerin and Kunitz)
2nd Period
PIT- Ruslan Fedotenko (12:30, Sykora and Letang)
3rd Period
None

Team Stats:
Shots
PIT- 19, PHI- 22
Power Plays
PIT- 0/2, PHI- 0/1

Final: PENGUINS 2, FLYERS 0

Tune in tomorrow as I’ll simulate Game 6 between the ‘Canes & Devils!!


Morning Skate: Playoff Edition (4/25)

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The Morning After:
My 3 stars from last night:
1. Matt Bradley
(2 goals)
Bradley’s 2 goals in the 1st put the Rangers in a big hole.
2. Simeon Varlamov (20 saves, shutout)
Varlamov continued his excellence with a solid shutout.
3. Alexander Ovechkin (1 goal)
His spectacular goal was probably the best of the playoffs thus far.
Best atmosphere: Washington
The Caps’ great start got the Verizon Center rockin’!
‘RLD Game-Changing Performance’ of the night:
Matt Bradley
… Bradley scored a great SH goal, but it was his second goal that made the difference. His off-angle shot that found a hole through Lundqvist proved it was just Washington’s night.
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Tonight’s Slate:
Penguins @ Flyers, Game 6, 7:00 ET
Flames @ Blackhawks, Game 5, 9:00
Ducks @ Sharks, Game 5, 10:00

Games of the Night:
4) Pittsburgh Penguins @ 5) Philadelphia Flyers

Game 6, 7:00 ET… TV: NBC, CBC
Penguins lead series, 3-2

Players to watch:
PIT- Tyler Kennedy

Look for Kennedy to possibly to be a sparkplug today.
PHI- Braydon Coburn
Coburn has been solid on the blue line the last few games.

Starting Goaltenders:
PIT- Marc-Andre Fleury
(Playoff stats: 3-2, 2.27 GAA)
PHI- Martin Biron (Playoff stats: 2-3, 2.28 GAA)

Injury Report:
PIT-
None
PHI- Riley Cote (finger, out)

Game Thoughts:

This game is going to be insane!! I expect it to be similar to Game 3… Wachovia will be rockin’. I can definitely see the Pens go back on the road and take this one, and I think they really need to. But Philly has re-found their confidence, and it will show today.

Prediction: Flyers 3, Penguins 2
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5) Calgary Flames @ 4) Chicago Blackhawks
Game 5, 9:00 ET… TV: TSN, Local Networks
Series tied, 2-2

Players to watch:
CGY- Olli Jokinen

It’s going to be important for him to carry over his success from Game 4.
CHI- Jonathan Toews
Captain Toews was great at home earlier in this series.

Starting Goaltenders:
CGY- Miikka Kiprusoff
(Playoff stats: 2-2, 3.01 GAA)
CHI- Nikolai Khabibulin (Playoff stats: 2-2, 3.29 GAA)

Injury Report:
CGY-
Rene Bourque (upper body, questionable), Robyn Regehr (knee, out), Mark Giordano (shoulder, out), Wayne Primeau (foot, out), Rhett Warrener (shoulder, out)
CHI- Brent Sopel (elbow, out)

Game Thoughts:
Even though the team that has scored first in this series is 0-4, I believe the Flames have to get the first one tonight. They can’t afford to fall down and have the UC go crazy. It’ll be a great game, and I think Chicago has the slight edge at home.

Prediction: Blackhawks 4, Flames 3
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8) Anaheim Ducks @ 1) San Jose Sharks
Game 5, 10:00 ET… TV: VERSUS, CBC, Local Networks
Ducks lead series, 3-1

Players to watch:
ANA- Ryan Getzlaf
I like Anaheim’s chances if Getzlaf outplays Jumbo Joe again.
SJ- Dan Boyle
He needs to be as aggressive as he was in Game 3.

Starting Goaltenders:
ANA- Jonas Hiller
(Playoff stats: 3-1, 1.51 GAA)
SJ- Evgeni Nabokov (Playoff stats: 1-3, 2.78 GAA)

Injury Report:
ANA-
Bret Hedican (back, out)
SJ- None

Game Thoughts:
San Jose must get off to a good start to keep the crowd alive. If the Ducks dominates off the bat, this could be it for the Sharks. My gut tells me that Anaheim will be smellin’ blood and would love to finish the series tonight. They have not lost a road game in regulation since February. Ducks in a tight one… although I wouldn't be surprised if the Sharks teased their fans with a win.

Prediction: Ducks 4, Sharks 2
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