We’re two-thirds the way through the season, and some teams’ point totals are still a bit deceiving despite what the overall standings look like. Through Tuesday’s action, here’s how many points each team was on pace to accumulate this season.
I’m going to change things up a bit from the previous times I’ve done this. I’ll factor in average point totals for home and away games through this point in the season.
Key: (Avg home point total X Remaining home games) + (Avg road point total X Remaining road games) + Current point total = Final point total pace
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1. Philadelphia Flyers, 75 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.403 ppg … Away: 1.423 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 41.044
Final point total pace: 116.044
2. Tampa Bay Lightning, 71 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.462 ppg … Away: 1.138 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 12 Away
Projected remaining point total: 35.578
Final point total pace: 106.578
3. Boston Bruins, 67 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.148 ppg … Away: 1.385 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 36.843
Final point total pace: 103.843
4. Pittsburgh Penguins, 72 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.3 ppg … Away: 1.32 ppg)
Games remaining: 11 Home, 16 Away
Projected remaining point total: 35.420
Final point total pace: 107.420
5. Washington Capitals, 68 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.367 ppg … Away: 1.08 ppg)
Games remaining: 11 Home, 16 Away
Projected remaining point total: 32.313
Final point total pace: 100.313
6. Montreal Canadiens, 65 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.379 ppg … Away: 1.0 ppg)
Games remaining: 12 Home, 16 Away
Projected remaining point total: 32.552
Final point total pace: 97.552
7. New York Rangers, 62 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.0 ppg … Away: 1.25 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 12 Away
Projected remaining point total: 29.000
Final point total pace: 91.000
8. Carolina Hurricanes, 59 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.2 ppg … Away: 1.0 ppg)
Games remaining: 16 Home, 12 Away
Projected remaining point total: 31.200
Final point total pace: 90.200
9. Atlanta Thrashers, 58 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.036 ppg … Away: 1.036 ppg)
Games remaining: 13 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 26.928
Final point total pace: 84.928
10. Buffalo Sabres, 55 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.0 ppg … Away: 1.111 ppg)
Games remaining: 16 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 31.556
Final point total pace: 86.556
11. Florida Panthers, 52 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.08 ppg … Away: 0.893 ppg)
Games remaining: 16 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 28.887
Final point total pace: 80.887
12. Toronto Maple Leafs, 51 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.071 ppg … Away: 0.808 ppg)
Games remaining: 13 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 26.038
Final point total pace: 77.038
13. New Jersey Devils, 44 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 0.926 ppg … Away: 0.704 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 22.815
Final point total pace: 66.815
14. Ottawa Senators, 42 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 0.786 ppg … Away: 0.769 ppg)
Games remaining: 13 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 21.753
Final point total pace: 63.753
15. New York Islanders, 41 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 0.846 ppg … Away: 0.704 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 22.544
Final point total pace: 63.544
The conference playoff picture would look like this…
1. Philadelphia, 117 points
2. Tampa Bay, 107
3. Boston, 104
4. Pittsburgh, 108
5. Washington, 101
6. Montreal, 98
7. NY Rangers, 91
8. Carolina, 91
9. Buffalo, 87
10. Atlanta, 85
11. Florida, 81
12. Toronto, 78
13. New Jersey, 67
14. Ottawa, 64
15. NY Islanders, 64
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WESTERN CONFERENCE
1. Vancouver Canucks, 79 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.593 ppg … Away: 1.333 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 40.963
Final point total pace: 119.963
2. Detroit Red Wings, 70 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.333 ppg … Away: 1.308 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 38.282
Final point total pace: 108.282
3. Dallas Stars, 65 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.333 ppg … Away: 1.115 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 35.398
Final point total pace: 100.398
4. San Jose Sharks, 64 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.115 ppg … Away: 1.25 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 32.981
Final point total pace: 96.981
5. Nashville Predators, 63 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.304 ppg … Away: 1.065 ppg)
Games remaining: 18 Home, 10 Away
Projected remaining point total: 34.123
Final point total pace: 97.123
6. Phoenix Coyotes, 63 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.074 ppg … Away: 1.214 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 30.823
Final point total pace: 93.823
7. Anaheim Ducks, 62 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.346 ppg … Away: 0.946 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 32.728
Final point total pace: 94.728
8. Calgary Flames, 61 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.25 ppg … Away: 1.0 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 12 Away
Projected remaining point total: 30.750
Final point total pace: 91.750
9. Los Angeles Kings, 60 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.296 ppg … Away: 0.962 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 15 Away
Projected remaining point total: 32.571
Final point total pace: 92.571
10. Minnesota Wild, 59 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.04 ppg … Away: 1.222 ppg)
Games remaining: 16 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 33.748
Final point total pace: 92.748
11. Chicago Blackhawks, 58 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.103 ppg … Away: 1.083 ppg)
Games remaining: 12 Home, 17 Away
Projected remaining point total: 31.658
Final point total pace: 89.658
12. Columbus Blue Jackets, 57 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.038 ppg … Away: 1.111 ppg)
Games remaining: 15 Home, 14 Away
Projected remaining point total: 31.133
Final point total pace: 88.133
13. St. Louis Blues, 56 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.296 ppg … Away: 0.84 ppg)
Games remaining: 14 Home, 16 Away
Projected remaining point total: 31.588
Final point total pace: 87.588
14. Colorado Avalanche, 56 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 1.033 ppg … Away: 1.087 ppg)
Games remaining: 11 Home, 18 Away
Projected remaining point total: 30.932
Final point total pace: 86.932
15. Edmonton Oilers, 40 points
2010/11 average point totals (Home: 0.72 ppg … Away: 0.786 ppg)
Games remaining: 16 Home, 13 Away
Projected remaining point total: 21.734
Final point total pace: 61.734
The conference playoff picture would look like this…
1. Vancouver, 120 points
2. Detroit, 109
3. Dallas, 101
4. Nashville, 98
5. San Jose, 97
6. Anaheim, 95
7. Phoenix, 94
8. Minnesota, 93
9. Los Angeles, 93
10. Calgary, 92
11. Chicago, 90
12. Columbus, 89
13. St. Louis, 88
14. Colorado, 87
15. Edmonton, 62
Note: All decimals rounded up
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